Insights
The Decision Brief.
A weekly read on what is happening in AI and decision-making, and what it means for the people running a business. Published every Wednesday on LinkedIn.
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Anthropic Agents Spend Most of Each Session Waiting on a HumanEditions
Edition 22
Anthropic Agents Spend Most of Each Session Waiting on a Human
Anthropic just published a report on how AI changed work inside its own company, and the most useful number in it has nothing to do with the model.
Edition 21
AI Insiders Expect a Disaster Within a Year
People inside the AI industry told Axios they expect a major disaster within the next six to 12 months. Their companies are already planning what to do the day after.
Edition 20
Sam Altman Has a Name for Blaming AI
In February, Sam Altman put a name on something a lot of people had already noticed.
Edition 19
A $15 Billion AI Company Had Negative Margins by June
Harvey is one of the most successful AI companies in the world. Law firms use it to draft, research, and review. It is valued at $15.6 billion.
Edition 18
Sam Altman Just Agreed With His Biggest Rival
On Saturday, September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published an essay of roughly 3,900 words asking the AI industry to slow down. Not stop.
Edition 17
An AI Has Been Running a Store Front Since April!
There is a shop on Union Street in San Francisco called Andon Market. It sells books, candles, chocolate. It opened on April 1 and it has been open ever since.
Edition 16
The Fed Just Checked Whether AI Is Taking Jobs
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York published new survey results on September 1.
Edition 15
EY Just Put a Price on Judgment
On Monday, EY announced that its US division is putting $100 million into employee rewards this fiscal year.
Edition 14
Your Manager Practiced Firing You on ChatGPT
The Predictive Index released a survey last week on how managers get ready for hard conversations.
Edition 13
The Dark Isn't the Problem. Pretending You Can See Is.
You have probably been sitting on a decision because you are waiting on a little more information. That feels responsible.
Edition 12
They Stopped Counting Your Outcomes. Now They're Reading Your Notes.
In June, the EEOC released a new National Enforcement Plan, and most operators took one line out of it: the agency will not pursue disparate impact claims.
Edition 11
Your Dashboard Is Lying to You. It Doesn't Know It Yet.
Search volume is up. Google traffic is up. And the click that used to connect both of those metrics to revenue is mostly gone.
Edition 10
The Most Dangerous Decision in Your Business Is the One That's Working
Operators routinely audit their failures. Almost none of them audit their wins.
Edition 9
Stop Planning for the Future You Want
Every company quietly rehiring the people it laid off for AI made the same mistake. They planned for the AI they wanted, not the AI they got.
Edition 8
"We Tried That" Is Not Data
The fastest way to kill a good option is to say four words in a meeting. We tried that.
Edition 7
The Hiring Record You Hope You Never Need
Hiring for a critical role is the highest-stakes decision most teams make with the least structure.
THE DECISION BRIEF · NO. 5
Swimming in Answers, but We Forgot the Question
Edition 5
Swimming in Answers, but We Forgot the Question
AI did not create our decision problem... It exposed it.
Edition 4
Everyone Nodded in the Meeting. That's the Problem.
A room can agree without aligning... That is what makes nodding dangerous. It gives the leader the feeling of consensus before the decision has actually survived friction.
THE DECISION BRIEF · NO. 3
You Don't Have 40 Decisions. You Have One Decision Without a System.
Edition 3
You Don't Have 40 Decisions. You Have One Decision Without a System.
A lot of operators think they are drowning in decisions.
THE DECISION BRIEF · NO. 2
When The Problem is Loud, but the Decision is Silent
Edition 2
When The Problem is Loud, but the Decision is Silent
Leaders don't skip decisions because they are careless. They skip them because the problem gets loud enough to sound like a decision.
THE DECISION BRIEF · NO. 1
Why You Decide Alone (And Why It's Costing You)
Edition 1
Why You Decide Alone (And Why It's Costing You)
Most operators do not lack intelligence. They lack a room.
